It’s Election Eve, and I have some optimistic predictions for the events unravelling tomorrow.

First, let’s see my prediction for the regional votes.

Atlantic Canada

• There usually isn’t much change in the Atlantic provinces, but we’re likely to see a Conservative seat or two in Newfoundland and Labrador.
• Prince Edward island will be all Liberal, counting on their unfair number of seats in such a small area.
• Otherwise, Halifax will remain NDP and New Brunswick will be Liberal save a few interior seats going Conservative.

Québec

• No more than 60 seats will go to the Bloc Québécois, who will dominate Québec with the Conservatives a distant but important 2nd.
• Paul Martin himself will face a scare as he loses a lot of support in Québec, even in his home riding of LaSalle-Émard.
• The Conservatives will win a seats from the tradition Liberal stronghold ridings, while the Bloc Québécois challenge for the rest.

Ontario

• The NDP will make the strongest gains in Ontario, winning the voters who dislike the Liberals while still stubborn enough not to vote Conservative.
• Some last-minute fear-mongering won’t work this time around.
• Belinda Stronach might even lose her seat after defecting to the Liberals.

Prairies

• NDP for Manitoba
• Saskatchewan will be Conservative save some die-hard NDP ridings.

Alberta

• Alberta will be painted blue.
• No miracles for Landslide Anne this time around in Edmonton-Centre.

British Columbia

• Vancouver Island city areas, such as Victoria and Nanaimo, will go to the NDP.
• Vancouver will be a split between the NDP and the Liberals.
• The rest of British Columbia will go to the Conservatives.

Arctic Canada

• Yukon and Nunavut will remain Liberal.
• Western Arctic will go NDP.

There you have it; my predictions for this election.

The result will be a Conservative minority government.

I will be interested to hear Paul Martin’s claims of a Conservative hidden agenda after he resigns as leader of the Liberal Party. Gilles Duceppe’s Bloc Québécois will act as official opposition in Canada. Any serious challenges to the Conservative government will have to wait while the Liberals run a leadership campaign to replace Martin.

This ClashBang.com article was written by Chris Chu. Tired of privately venting his frustration in vain, Chris decided to share his discontent with the rest of the world.

This entry was posted on Sunday, January 22nd, 2006 at 12:23 pm and is filed under . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.